Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The Los Angeles Angels face the Detroit Tigers on 28 May at 1:10 PM ET in a regular-season Major League Baseball fixture. The market's 73% implied probability favours the Angels, reflecting their stronger recent performance and roster depth. Resolution depends on official MLB final statistics; postponement extends the settlement window until completion, whilst cancellation or a tied result triggers a 50-50 split.

Historical matchup data and season-to-date records provide the foundation for interpreting this probability. The Angels have typically held the edge in head-to-head encounters over recent seasons, though the Tigers showed competitive improvement during 2024. Comparable markets on similar AL Central contests have settled within 5–8 percentage points of pre-game implied odds when neither team faced significant injury disruptions. Current Angels roster health and Detroit's pitching availability will anchor whether the 73% probability holds or shifts materially.

Traders should monitor roster announcements through 27 May, particularly regarding starting pitcher confirmation and any late-inning bullpen adjustments. Weather conditions at the scheduled venue may affect play quality and injury risk. From a regulatory standpoint, this market operates under US CFTC oversight as a binary sports event contract; UK traders accessing the market via polymarket-tax.co.uk should note that the German GlüStV framework does not directly govern binary prediction markets on US sports, though individual jurisdiction compliance remains the trader's responsibility. The no-KYC threshold up to $1,500 applies to aggregate position size, meaning traders can establish exposure below that tier without identity verification, though settlement and withdrawal procedures remain subject to platform and applicable financial regulations.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Tax UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.