Dota 2: GLYPH vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

GLYPH and ex-HEROIC will contest a best-of-one Dota 2 match within the BLAST Slam Group Stage on 26 May 2026, with scheduled start at 07:30 ET. The match determines group advancement and seeding implications for both rosters. Settlement occurs at 17:50 UTC on the same date, allowing a ten-hour window for completion. Cancellation, ties, or delays exceeding seven days without resolution trigger a 50-50 split; forfeiture or disqualification by either team settles the market to the beneficiary.

The 0% implied probability reflects either minimal trading activity or strong market consensus favouring ex-HEROIC based on recent roster performance and LAN results. Historical Dota 2 prediction markets show similar compression when one team carries significant rating advantages or when fixture liquidity remains low pre-event. Comparable BLAST events have seen late-stage probability shifts once team lineups confirm and scrim results circulate within professional circles, typically 24–48 hours before match time.

Traders should monitor official BLAST communications for any schedule adjustments, roster confirmations, or technical delays affecting the 07:30 ET window. Recent BLAST Slam coverage from esports news outlets typically confirms final rosters and substitution rules by 48 hours prior. Dependency factors include player availability, visa clearance for international participants, and venue infrastructure. The regulatory framework for this market varies by jurisdiction: German players or traders fall under GlüStV oversight if the operator holds a Glücksspielstaatsvertrag licence; US CFTC reach applies to binary derivatives on sports outcomes if the platform qualifies as a designated contract market. No-KYC thresholds up to $1,500 typically permit single-market positions without identity verification, though aggregate exposure across multiple markets may trigger compliance requirements depending on operator jurisdiction and user residency.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Tax UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Tax UK?

Zero. Polymarket Tax UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.