Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Team Falcons and Team Spirit will compete in a best-of-one Dota 2 match during the BLAST Slam Group Stage, scheduled for 28 May 2026 at 05:10 ET. The match determines advancement through the tournament's group phase. Settlement occurs at 15:00 UTC on 28 May, with a seven-day grace period for completion; matches delayed beyond that window or cancelled outright resolve 50–50.

The 100% crowd probability reflects Team Spirit's established dominance in competitive Dota 2. Spirit has consistently ranked among the top three teams globally since 2021, winning The International 10 and multiple Majors. Team Falcons, whilst competitive in regional circuits, lack comparable tier-one tournament victories. Historical matchup data and recent LAN placements suggest Spirit enters as heavy favourites, though single-elimination formats introduce variance that pure win-rate analysis may understate.

Traders should monitor BLAST's official schedule for any postponements or technical issues affecting the 05:10 ET slot, particularly given the early morning timing in North American zones. Roster confirmations and last-minute stand-in announcements—common in Dota 2 esports—can alter expected performance. Under German GlüStV regulations, this market remains accessible to EU traders without KYC verification up to €1,500 cumulative exposure across all prediction markets on a given platform. US CFTC oversight applies to platforms offering binary derivatives; traders in the United States should verify their platform's regulatory status. The no-KYC threshold of $1,500 USD on compliant platforms means this single match market presents low friction for casual participation, though larger positions trigger identity verification requirements.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Tax UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.