# of views of MrBeast video day 2?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast's latest YouTube upload will accumulate views over its first 48 hours post-publication. The resolution hinges on the exact view count displayed on his channel at the 48-hour mark, with brackets determining which range the final figure falls into. The current 0% probability assigned by the crowd suggests either extreme confidence in a specific outcome or insufficient liquidity to establish a meaningful price.

MrBeast's historical upload performance provides the baseline for calibrating expectations. His videos routinely exceed 50 million views within 48 hours; several recent uploads have crossed 100 million in that window. The 0% probability reading likely reflects either a market awaiting video publication details (title, upload timing, promotional strategy) or traders pricing in an unusually low-performing scenario. Comparable high-profile creator markets on prediction platforms show similar volatility when specific video metrics remain unconfirmed until publication.

Traders should monitor MrBeast's upload schedule and promotional activity across his social channels, as release timing and cross-platform amplification directly influence early view velocity. Recent uploads have benefited from coordinated announcements on X and Instagram; any deviation from this pattern could signal different audience reach expectations. The settlement window closing 16 June 2026 allows sufficient time for the 48-hour window to complete and views to stabilise, though YouTube's real-time counter occasionally exhibits minor fluctuations requiring careful observation at resolution time. Regulatory accessibility remains straightforward: UK traders under the £1,500 no-KYC threshold face no additional German GlüStV or US CFTC compliance burdens for this specific market.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Tax UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Tax UK?

Zero. Polymarket Tax UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.