XRP price on May 20?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

XRP will settle here on Binance’s 12:00 ET one-minute candle close, so the relevant question is simply where spot was printed at that exact minute, not where it traded intraday. With the crowd assigning 0% to the out-of-range outcomes, the market is already saying the tape is expected to sit comfortably inside the listed brackets. Recent historical data show XRP around $1.35–$1.37 on 19–20 May, while Polymarket’s own range market for the same timestamp has concentrated almost entirely in the 1.30–1.40 band, which is consistent with a narrow settlement window rather than a binary breakout event.

From a market-structure perspective, the main framing is regulatory rather than purely technical. German GlüStV rules matter because they can affect who can access or use prediction markets from Germany, while US CFTC reach is relevant where a contract may be treated as a derivatives-style product rather than a casual wager. For accessibility, “no-KYC up to $1,500” means a user can typically get through limited-value onboarding without full identity verification, but that threshold does not change the market’s resolution mechanics or the fact that access can still depend on jurisdiction and platform policy.

The catalysts to watch are the Binance noon-ET print itself, any late-session XRP volatility, and any legal or policy headlines that could move crypto beta before the cutoff. A recent KuCoin note pointed to the CLARITY Act timetable as a driver for XRP positioning, but for this specific market the immediate dependency is narrower: whether there is enough movement before the settlement window to push the Binance 1m close across a bracket boundary. With the market closing at 16:00 UTC, anything released after that time is irrelevant to resolution, even if it moves XRP afterwards.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.