Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 14?

Platform comparison

Market context

On 14 August 2026, the highest temperature recorded at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station will determine the settlement outcome of this market. The resolution will draw from Weather Underground's Daily Observations table rather than the Day High & Low summary, a distinction that matters when station instruments record multiple peaks throughout the day. Chongqing's summer climate typically produces sustained heat; August averages around 29–30°C, though peaks frequently exceed 35°C during mid-month heat waves driven by the East Asian summer monsoon system.

Historical August temperature data from Chongqing shows considerable year-to-year variance. Between 2015 and 2024, recorded highs on mid-August dates ranged from 31°C to 39°C, reflecting both typical seasonal patterns and occasional extreme heat events. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders currently perceive the market's upper temperature thresholds as unlikely, though this assessment depends on which specific range brackets the question. Chongqing's urban heat island effect—intensified by dense development and limited green space—consistently pushes airport-station readings higher than surrounding rural areas.

Traders should monitor China Meteorological Administration forecasts released in early August 2026, which typically provide 10-day outlooks with reasonable accuracy for temperature extremes. Tropical cyclone activity in the Western Pacific during late summer can either suppress heat through cloud cover or intensify it via moisture-driven convection. The settlement window closes at 12:00 UTC on 14 August, allowing only the morning's observations to influence final resolution; any afternoon temperature spike recorded after that timestamp will not affect the outcome.

Methodology

This overview of Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 14? reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

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Does Polymarket KYC apply to UK users?

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What is the legal difference between Polymarket and Betfair Exchange for UK traders?

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