Highest temperature in Busan on August 17?

Platform comparison

Market context

Busan's highest temperature on 17 August 2026 will be measured at Gimhae International Airport Station and recorded in Weather Underground's Daily Observations table. The settlement window closes at 12:00 UTC on that date, meaning the final reading must be captured before noon. This market resolves to a specific temperature range bracket rather than an exact figure, with the Daily Observations dataset taking precedence over Weather Underground's summary high-low section should any discrepancy arise.

August temperatures in Busan historically cluster between 28–32°C, with occasional peaks above 33°C during heat waves. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders are either absent or treating this as a baseline reference point rather than an outlier event. Comparable August days at Gimhae show that extreme heat (above 35°C) occurs roughly once per decade in this region, whilst readings below 26°C are exceptionally rare. The current probability assignment reflects typical late-summer conditions rather than any specific meteorological warning.

Traders should monitor the Korea Meteorological Administration's forecasts from mid-August, particularly any heat advisory issuance in the week preceding settlement. Typhoon activity in the Western Pacific during early-to-mid August could suppress temperatures significantly, whilst high-pressure systems anchored over the Korean peninsula would drive readings upward. Sea-surface temperatures in the Korea Strait and any upper-level atmospheric patterns will determine whether Busan experiences typical summer warmth or anomalous conditions. Real-time forecast updates become actionable only from approximately 72 hours before the settlement window.

Methodology

This overview of Highest temperature in Busan on August 17? reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

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