Highest temperature in Atlanta on May 24?

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Active sub-markets

Market context

On 24 May 2026, the highest temperature recorded at Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport in Atlanta will fall into one of several defined ranges. The settlement will draw from Weather Underground's historical records for that specific date, using the airport's official station data in Fahrenheit. This market resolves based on a single, verifiable meteorological reading rather than forecasts or averages, making it a straightforward event-based contract.

Atlanta's May temperatures historically cluster between 75°F and 90°F, with extremes rarely exceeding 95°F or falling below 70°F in the month. The 0% crowd probability suggests either extreme confidence in a particular range or insufficient liquidity across all outcome buckets. Comparable May weather markets in the southeastern United States have typically seen resolution in the 80–88°F band; traders should examine the past five years of Hartsfield-Jackson data to calibrate expectations against seasonal norms and any anomalies.

From a regulatory standpoint, this market operates under differing frameworks depending on trader jurisdiction. Within the EU, the German GlüStV (Glücksspielstaatsvertrag) classifies prediction markets as gambling unless they meet specific financial-instrument exemptions; UK-domiciled traders face FCA oversight post-Brexit. US CFTC reach extends to US persons trading on offshore platforms, though weather derivatives themselves remain largely unregulated if structured as binary options. Most prediction market platforms permit trading up to $1,500 without formal KYC verification, allowing retail participation in lower-stake positions; amounts above that threshold typically trigger identity and source-of-funds documentation. For this specific market, that accessibility threshold means casual participants can enter positions without full account verification, though settlement and withdrawal may require later compliance steps.

Methodology

This page reviews Highest temperature in Atlanta on May 24? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.