Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Tax UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Tax UK.
Active sub-markets
Market context
The next **MrBeast Gaming** upload is the event that determines this market: the first 24-hour view count on the channel’s next YouTube video, with a fallback to the lowest bracket if no upload appears by 30 June 2026. The channel still presents a standing weekly cadence — “every single Saturday at noon eastern time” — but that is a schedule signal, not a guarantee, so the practical question is whether the next slot is filled and whether the upload is a normal gaming release or a larger cross-audience item.[9]
The current **0% YES** crowd price needs to be read against the channel’s historical reach rather than the wording of the brackets. MrBeast Gaming videos regularly clear the multi-million-view level on day one when the upload is a standard high-concept release, and the main MrBeast brand has remained active in 2026 through Beast Games season 2 on Prime Video, which can keep the wider audience warm ahead of another gaming post.[4][6][7] By comparison, the last widely visible MrBeast Gaming video in the search results had 22 million views after about two months, showing that the channel can still generate large totals even when the pace is slower than the main channel.[6]
From a trading-access angle, this type of views market sits in the usual prediction-market regulatory grey zone: in Germany, **GlüStV** issues matter because online gambling-style offer restrictions can affect whether a resident can access the market at all, while in the US the **CFTC** has historically asserted broad oversight over event contracts, which is why platform availability can vary by jurisdiction. The stated **no-KYC up to $1,500** means small-position access is typically possible without identity verification, but that does not remove local legal or payment restrictions; for this specific market, the key catalysts are a channel upload announcement, any shift in the Saturday noon ET pattern, and whether the next video is a routine gaming upload or a broader MrBeast-branded release that could lift day-one views.[9][3][1]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Tax UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Tax UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Tax UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade # of views of next MrBeast gaming video on day 1? on Polymarket Tax UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Polymarket Tax UK →