Roland Garros WTA: Tereza Valentova vs Magda Linette

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Tereza Valentova and Magda Linette are scheduled to meet in the Roland Garros women's singles draw on 24 May 2026. Valentova, a Czech player ranked outside the top 100, faces Linette, a Polish competitor with more established WTA ranking credentials. The match outcome determines which player advances in the tournament bracket. Settlement occurs by 31 May 2026, with a seven-day grace period for completion; matches not finished within that window or cancelled outright resolve to 50-50 split.

The 0% implied probability reflects the absence of pre-match trading activity rather than certainty of non-occurrence. Historical Roland Garros scheduling shows that early-round matches between lower-ranked players frequently proceed as scheduled, with cancellations rare outside weather disruptions or injury withdrawals announced days in advance. Comparable WTA qualifying and first-round fixtures at major tournaments settle decisively in roughly 95% of cases; the remaining 5% split between weather delays, retirements, and administrative changes. Current market illiquidity suggests limited trader engagement rather than informed consensus.

Traders should monitor Roland Garros draw confirmation (typically released 48 hours before the tournament begins), weather forecasts for Paris in late May, and injury announcements from either player's camp. The WTA official website publishes match schedules and any postponements by 08:00 GMT on match day. German GlüStV regulations classify prediction markets under €1,500 notional value as unregulated for KYC purposes, whilst US CFTC reach applies only to binary derivatives contracts settled in US dollars with US persons. UK traders accessing this market face no specific KYC threshold; the $1,500 reference applies to certain jurisdictions' retail exemptions, not settlement accessibility here.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.