Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
Market context
Jil Teichmann’s match against Petra Marcinko in Rabat is the underlying event here, but the market should be read with the event already appearing to have been decided on court: Marcinko beat Teichmann 7-6(2), 6-3 in the semi-final, according to WTA and TennisTemple reports. That makes the current 0% YES price chiefly a function of how the contract is structured around advancement and whether the exchange has already aligned with a completed result. For German users, the GlüStV framework matters because even a straightforward tennis market can be treated as gambling activity, with access and tax treatment depending on local classification and operator terms. In the US, CFTC reach is relevant to how event contracts are offered and enforced, even where the user is outside US jurisdiction. On accessibility, “no-KYC up to $1,500” means small balances can usually be used without identity checks, but it does not remove platform review, payout limits, or legal restrictions tied to location.
Historically, similar tennis markets move less on pre-match rankings than on draw progression, withdrawal risk, and whether a scheduled match is actually completed within the settlement window. Here, the key comparable case is a semi-final that appears to have finished in straight sets, which reduces the scope for late schedule ambiguity unless an official correction, retirement classification, or suspension issue emerges. The most important catalyst to watch is the tournament’s own result feed versus any exchange-side settlement note, because the market resolves on advancement, not on set score alone. WTA’s match report and TennisTemple’s video summary both describe Marcinko as the winner, while the settlement window runs to 29 May 2026, leaving little room for a later reclassification unless a formal record change appears.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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