Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionov

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Borna Gojo and Jurij Rodionov were scheduled to meet in Roland Garros qualifying on 22 May, with the market resolving on who advances, or 50-50 if the match is not played or is left undecided beyond the seven-day settlement window. A 100% crowd price implies the market is effectively treating the match as a near-certainty to produce a winner within the normal timetable, which is usually what happens in Grand Slam qualifying unless there is a late withdrawal, suspension, or administrative change. For context, the ATP and tournament draw pages provide the cleanest match reference, while live-score services such as Flashscore and SofaScore are the usual sources for confirmation if the match is moved, interrupted, or completed unexpectedly.

For accessibility and tax framing, this kind of tennis market is typically available on platforms that operate without full identity checks up to a low cumulative threshold, often described as “no-KYC up to $1,500”; in practice that means smaller positions may be easier to place, but withdrawals and larger exposure can still trigger verification. German users should note the GlüStV regime can affect whether prediction-market participation is treated as gambling activity under local rules, while US persons should be aware the CFTC has asserted broad reach over derivatives-style event contracts, even where the underlying event is offshore. The main catalysts are straightforward: any official order of play update, a late injury or withdrawal, weather disruption in Paris, or a completed result reported by the tournament or major scoreboards before the 29 May settlement cut-off.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.