Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Tom Gentzsch vs Roman Safiullin

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Tom Gentzsch and Roman Safiullin were scheduled to meet in Roland Garros qualifying in Paris on 22 May, with the market settling on which player advances, or 50-50 if the match is not completed within the stated window. A 0% YES price is usually a sign of a stale or illiquid book rather than a clean read on the tennis itself, so the better reference point is the actual draw status, court allocation and whether either player has already progressed. In qualifying, withdrawals, walkovers and same-day scheduling changes are common enough that a headline price can move sharply once the order of play is confirmed.

For a British-facing market, the practical overlay is regulatory rather than sporting. Access to the contract may differ by venue: German bettors can face GlüStV restrictions depending on the operator’s authorisation and local implementation, while US users are still exposed to CFTC jurisdictional limits on certain event contracts. Where an exchange offers “no-KYC up to $1,500”, that usually means smaller-volume participation can be entered with basic account checks only, but identity verification is still triggered above the threshold or when compliance rules require it; it does not change the underlying settlement terms for this specific match. Comparable ATP qualifying markets often reprice fastest when one player is confirmed to be a lucky loser, when a court time is pushed back, or when injury/medical timeout reports appear in live score feeds such as Flashscore or SofaScore.

The immediate catalysts are mundane but decisive: the official order of play, whether the match actually started, and any ITF/ATP announcement about weather delays or schedule compression at Roland Garros. If the match does not begin, or is abandoned with no winner inside the seven-day window, the contract can resolve to 50-50; if it does begin, completion matters more than pre-match sentiment. Recent live listings from Flashscore and SofaScore indicate the fixture was on Court 6 in Paris, so traders should watch for late court changes, score updates and any withdrawal notices rather than relying on the quoted 0% YES alone.

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Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.