Cervia: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Tommaso Compagnucci

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Buvaysar Gadamauri and Tommaso Compagnucci are set to meet in Cervia, with live listings showing the match scheduled for 22 May and the market still open to the usual tournament and scheduling risks. The crowd-implied 100% yes looks more like a placeholder than a settled price: both players are in the draw for an ATP Challenger-level event, where late withdrawals, walkovers and abandoned matches can change settlement quickly if a winner is not formally recorded.

In comparable tennis markets, prices tend to compress sharply when one player is listed as a clear favourite, but they can also overstate certainty before serve because injury, retirement and rain are common on the Challenger circuit. Search results currently show Gadamauri priced as the favourite by third-party tip sites, while Sofascore and ATP live pages confirm the fixture context in Cervia rather than a completed result. That matters because prediction markets on match-winner terms resolve on who advances, not who was “better” on paper.

For access, the regulatory frame is relevant. If the venue or operator is caught by Germany’s GlüStV regime, account onboarding and staking controls can be more restrictive than the market headline suggests, while US users face potential CFTC reach depending on platform structure and jurisdiction. Where a platform advertises “no-KYC up to $1,500”, that usually means smaller positions may be placed with lighter identity checks, but it does not remove geoblocking, withdrawal checks or tax reporting obligations tied to the user’s location and the market’s settlement outcome.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Cervia: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Tommaso Compagnucci across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.