Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Arthur Fery vs Pedro Martinez

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Arthur Fery and Pedro Martinez were scheduled to meet in Roland Garros qualifying on 20 May 2026, with Martinez the clearer favourite in the pre-match prices and Fery priced as the outsider. For a market sitting at 0% YES, the practical reference point is not just form but whether the tie is actually played to completion: if the match is started and one player advances, that settles normally, while a no-show, cancellation, or delay beyond the seven-day window pushes the market to 50-50. Comparable clay-court qualifying matchups at Grand Slam level often move sharply on small updates, because fitness, travel, and scheduling can matter more than ranking gaps in best-of-three qualifying formats.

For traders, the main catalysts are routine but important: official order-of-play changes from Roland Garros, any late withdrawal or walkover reports, and live score or completion status from the match page. Recent listings from Tennis Tonic and tournament trackers such as Sofascore and Flashscore confirm the pairing and the scheduled timing, while the ATP head-to-head page frames it as a first meeting at tour level. In regulatory terms, access depends on jurisdiction: German users should note the GlüStV framework can restrict or shape participation, US persons face potential CFTC jurisdictional reach, and “no-KYC up to $1,500” means identity checks may not be required for small balances or limited activity, but larger withdrawals or compliance triggers can still prompt verification for this market.

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Methodology

This page reviews Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Arthur Fery vs Pedro Martinez across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.