Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Leandro Riedi

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Gianluca Cadenasso and Leandro Riedi are scheduled to meet in Roland Garros men’s qualifying, a best-of-three match whose outcome will determine who advances through the final round of French Open qualification. The current 0% YES pricing implies the market is not reflecting a live probability estimate of a player result, but rather a trading setup where the resolution mechanics and timing matter more than the match-up itself.

Comparable first-round and qualifying tennis markets on prediction venues often move sharply on official draw updates, walkover notices and any change to court order, because settlement depends on who actually advances, not on pre-match reputation. Riedi’s ATP head-to-head listing and live-score pages show this is a standard tour-level qualifier, but with limited public match history there is little hard data to anchor a price if one player has stronger clay form or a clearer path through qualifying.

For traders, the main catalysts are the official Roland Garros schedule, any confirmation that the match is played within the settlement window, and whether either player withdraws before or during play. If the match is not completed, or is delayed beyond seven days from the scheduled date without a winner, the market resolves 50-50; that makes timing as important as the scoreline. Accessibility also depends on jurisdiction: German users may encounter GlüStV-related restrictions, US users are within CFTC’s broader regulatory reach, and “no-KYC up to $1,500” means smaller positions can usually be accessed without full identity checks, though limits and availability vary by platform rules and location.

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Methodology

This page reviews Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Leandro Riedi across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.