Bengaluru 3: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Alastair Gray

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Petr Bar Biryukov and Alastair Gray met in Bengaluru on hard court in a Challenger event, with Gray taking the match 6-7(5), 6-4, 7-6(3) after a tight three-setter. That result is the main anchor for reading the current 100% YES price: the market is effectively assuming the listed winner advanced, and the settlement terms matter more than the pre-match odds. In a regulated context, German GlüStV rules can restrict or reshape access to certain betting-style products, while US CFTC jurisdiction is relevant where a market is treated as a derivatives-style event contract rather than ordinary wagering. For users, “no-KYC up to $1,500” generally means smaller positions may be opened without full identity verification, but that threshold does not change the market’s settlement rules or any jurisdictional limits on access.

For traders, the key catalysts are procedural rather than form-based: the ATP results feed, official draw updates, and any rescheduling or walkover notices from the Bengaluru event. If the match had been postponed beyond seven days from the original May 22 slot without a winner, the market would shift to a 50-50 outcome under the stated rules. A recent ATP stats-centre archive and live score listings confirm the match was played and completed, which reduces uncertainty around delay or cancellation risk. What remains relevant is whether the contract’s reference event matches the completed fixture exactly, as Challenger events can have naming, round, or timing differences that matter at settlement.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.