Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| US Lecce (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Genoa CFC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| US Lecce (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Genoa CFC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Lecce and Genoa will contest a Serie A fixture on 24 May 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, with settlement tied to the availability of supplementary betting markets for that match. The 0% crowd probability reflects either minimal trading activity or genuine uncertainty about whether additional market offerings will materialise alongside the primary match outcome markets. Settlement occurs at 13:00 UTC on the scheduled date, allowing a four-hour window post-kickoff for resolution data to crystallise.
Historical precedent suggests that supplementary Serie A markets—including player performance, corner counts, and card totals—typically launch when fixtures attract sufficient liquidity. The current nil probability may indicate traders expect only standard win/draw/loss markets, or that market operators have not yet confirmed secondary offerings for this particular fixture. Comparable Italian league matches in prior seasons show variable secondary market availability depending on operator capacity and anticipated trading volume; mid-table clubs like Lecce and Genoa generate less ancillary market depth than top-four fixtures.
Traders should monitor operator announcements through May, as market expansion decisions often depend on early-week confirmation of squad availability and injury status. Under German GlüStV regulations, EU-based traders accessing this market face potential licensing scrutiny if the platform lacks appropriate authorisation. US CFTC reach extends to derivatives-like prediction contracts; however, the no-KYC threshold up to $1,500 USD permits US residents to trade this specific market without identity verification provided individual position size remains beneath that ceiling. Fixture postponement or rescheduling would trigger force majeure clauses; monitor official Serie A communications for any calendar adjustments.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $214K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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