Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
60% | 40% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
60% | 40% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| SS Lazio | 60% YES | 41% NO |
| Draw (SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC) | 23% YES | 78% NO |
| Pisa SC | 16% YES | 85% NO |
Market context
Lazio host Pisa in Serie A on 24 May, with the market currently leaning to a Lazio win at around 60% implied probability. That price is broadly in line with the wider football betting backdrop: Fox Sports lists Lazio as a clear favourite at about -174, with Pisa priced as a long shot and an over/under line of 2.5 goals near even money. For readers under German GlüStV rules, the key point is that football event markets can sit in a grey zone depending on whether they are treated as games of chance or regulated financial-style contracts; access and local compliance will matter more than the football itself. In the US, CFTC reach is relevant because prediction contracts tied to sporting outcomes may attract commodity-derivatives scrutiny, even where the event is based overseas.
Comparable fixtures between a top-half Serie A side and a newly promoted or lower-ranked visitor have often traded off home advantage, recent goal margins and late-team-news rather than name value alone. Pisa’s recent form appears to have weighed on sentiment: Fox Sports notes they “lost by 3” in their last match, which helps explain why the favourite has been priced firmly. For market access, “no-KYC up to $1,500” means a user may be able to trade within that limit without submitting identity documents, but only until exchange or jurisdictional thresholds require verification; it does not remove country restrictions, sanctions screening, or any obligations that apply once activity or withdrawals increase.
Methodology
This page reviews SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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