Knicks vs. 76ers

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The New York Knicks will face the Philadelphia 76ers in an NBA playoff contest on 8 May 2026 at 19:00 ET. The market currently reflects 100% implied probability for resolution, suggesting either exceptional certainty about game completion or minimal trading activity. Settlement occurs at 23:00 ET the same day, allowing approximately four hours post-game for final score confirmation and market closure.

Historical precedent for NBA playoff games shows cancellation remains exceptionally rare; since 2000, only weather events and the 2020 bubble protocols have forced rescheduling. The 100% probability reading likely reflects this baseline expectation rather than specific intelligence about either team's availability. Comparable markets on regular-season matchups typically settle without incident, though playoff games occasionally extend to overtime, which counts toward final resolution under the stated terms.

Traders should monitor official NBA scheduling announcements and injury reports through early May, particularly regarding key roster players for both franchises. The 76ers' recent roster composition and the Knicks' playoff seeding will influence betting patterns as the date approaches. Under German GlüStV regulations, this market may face restrictions in certain jurisdictions, whilst US CFTC oversight applies to derivatives-based trading. Platforms offering no-KYC access up to $1,500 USD notional exposure typically classify single-game sports outcomes as exempt from enhanced customer identification, though this varies by operator licensing and domicile. Traders should verify their jurisdiction's specific requirements before participation.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.