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Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls - More Markets

"Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls - More Markets" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Polymarket Tax UK as a Polymarket alternative.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Both Teams to Score 100% Both Teams to Score in First Half 100% Volume: $162K Liquidity: $957K Closes: 22 Jul 2026
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Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Tax UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
Philadelphia Union O/U 0.5100%
New York Red Bulls O/U 0.5100%
Philadelphia Union 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
New York Red Bulls 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
O/U 2.586%
Philadelphia Union O/U 1.574%
O/U 3.556%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half51%
2nd Half O/U 0.550%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Philadelphia Union 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Philadelphia Union 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
New York Red Bulls 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
New York Red Bulls 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
New York Red Bulls O/U 1.548%
Philadelphia Union O/U 2.536%
O/U 4.529%
Philadelphia Union (-1.5)22%
New York Red Bulls O/U 2.515%
O/U 5.511%
Philadelphia Union (-2.5)7%
New York Red Bulls (-1.5)5%
New York Red Bulls (-2.5)1%
1st Half O/U 2.51%
Philadelphia Union 1st Half O/U 1.51%
New York Red Bulls 1st Half O/U 1.51%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of philadelphia union vs. new york red bulls - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for July 22 at 7:30 PM ET.

Methodology

This overview of Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls - More Markets reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket Tax UK has a different geo footprint.
How are winnings taxed?
Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
Can I trade anonymously?
Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Polymarket Tax UK stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
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Related Topics

Sports