Inter Miami CF vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Inter Miami CF will face Philadelphia Union in an MLS regular-season fixture on 24 May at 7:00 PM Eastern Time. The 30% implied probability for additional markets suggests traders view the likelihood of supplementary betting options being offered as relatively modest, though not negligible. Settlement occurs at 23:00 UTC on the same date, allowing a four-hour window after kick-off for market resolution.

Comparable MLS fixtures from the 2024 season show that secondary market proliferation typically correlates with fixture prominence and platform capacity. High-profile matches—particularly those involving marquee players or playoff implications—generate additional derivative markets at rates between 60–75%, whilst mid-table regular-season encounters settle at 20–35% probability. The Miami-Philadelphia pairing carries moderate historical interest; their last five meetings produced mixed attendance figures and moderate betting volume, positioning this match in the lower-to-middle tier for ancillary market creation.

Under German GlüStV provisions, prediction markets on this fixture may face restrictions if operated from EU jurisdictions, though UK-domiciled platforms currently operate under the Gambling Commission's framework. US CFTC oversight extends to certain derivatives contracts, though sports prediction markets remain in regulatory grey zones depending on settlement mechanisms. For traders accessing this market without KYC verification up to the $1,500 threshold, accessibility remains straightforward on compliant platforms; however, this cap applies per transaction rather than aggregate exposure, meaning multiple positions require separate verification. Team news—particularly injury confirmations for key players—typically emerges 48–72 hours pre-match and may influence whether platforms expand their market offerings.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.