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St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres

"St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres" on Polymarket, Kalshi and PolyGram — what traders need to know about platform choice, KYC and tax law.

12 outcomes · leader: O/U 4.5 at 100%

0% YES 100% NO Volume: $626K 24h volume: $625K Liquidity: $3.6M Opened: 4 May 2026 Closes: 17 May 2026

Resolution criteria: In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and San Diego Padres, scheduled for May 10 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primar

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St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres

Market statistics

Total volume
$626K
24h volume
$625K
Liquidity
$3.6M
Open interest
$406K

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
PolyGram Pick
polygram.ink
0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on PolyGram →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on PolyGram →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on PolyGram →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on PolyGram →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on PolyGram →

Available prediction outcomes (12)

Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.

Market context

In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and San Diego Padres, scheduled for May 10 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primar

Wikipedia Context

  • St. Louis Cardinals minor league players

    Below is a partial list of players in the St. Louis Cardinals minor league organization and rosters of their minor league affiliates. Players individually listed here have not yet played in Major League Baseball (MLB), but have reached an advanced level of achievement or notoriety. Some notable players in the minor leagues may have their own profile pages

  • 2015 St. Louis Cardinals season
    2015 St. Louis Cardinals season

    The St. Louis Cardinals 2015 season was the 134th for the Major League Baseball (MLB) franchise in St. Louis, Missouri, the 124th season in the National League, and the 10th at Busch Stadium III. They entered the 2015 season as two-time defending National League Central champions and having made four consecutive NLCS appearances.

  • St. Louis Cardinals (NFL)
    St. Louis Cardinals (NFL)

    From 1960 to 1987, the professional American football team now known as the Arizona Cardinals played in St. Louis, Missouri, as the St. Louis Cardinals.

  • St. Louis Cardinals all-time roster
    St. Louis Cardinals all-time roster

    The following is a list of players, both past and current, who appeared in at least one game for the St. Louis Cardinals franchise, including the 1882 St. Louis Brown Stockings, the 1883–1898 St. Louis Browns, and the 1899 St. Louis Perfectos.

Methodology

This overview of St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.mlb.com/. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. PolyGram has a different geo footprint.
Do I need to KYC for PolyGram?
Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
How are winnings taxed?
Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), PolyGram would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.

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