LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

T1 and Dplus KIA are scheduled to meet in a League of Legends best-of-three match during the LCK's opening rounds on 10 May 2026 at 04:00 ET. The match will determine early-season standing in South Korea's premier esports league. T1, the organisation behind multiple world champions, typically enters LCK fixtures as favourites; Dplus KIA, a competitive mid-tier roster, has shown variable performance across recent seasons. The 100% implied probability reflects strong market consensus, though such certainty in esports fixtures remains unusual given inherent volatility in competitive play.

Historical precedent suggests that LCK matches rarely cancel outright, with the league maintaining rigorous scheduling discipline. Comparable fixtures between established organisations have settled decisively when played, with forfeits or disqualifications remaining exceptionally rare. The 7-day grace period for delayed matches provides substantial buffer against minor scheduling disruptions, though extended postponements—typically caused by player illness, facility issues, or league-wide suspensions—would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause.

Traders should monitor LCK official announcements regarding roster changes, player availability, or venue alterations in the week preceding the match. Recent esports scheduling has occasionally shifted due to player visa complications or equipment logistics, particularly for international-adjacent tournaments. The settlement window closes at 14:00 UTC on 10 May, allowing approximately 10 hours post-match for official result confirmation. No current public reporting indicates fixture risk, though unforeseen circumstances affecting either organisation's participation remain possible until match commencement.

Methodology

We track LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.