LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

HANJIN BRION will face DN SOOPers in a League of Legends best-of-three match within the LCK's opening rounds, scheduled for 15 May 2026 at 06:00 ET. The match settlement window closes at 16:15 UTC that same day, allowing approximately ten hours for completion. The market's 100% implied probability for HANJIN BRION victory suggests either significant pre-match information favouring the team or minimal trading activity establishing genuine odds discovery.

LCK match markets historically show compressed probabilities when one team enters with substantially higher ranked roster strength or recent tournament performance. HANJIN BRION's perfect probability reflects either established dominance over DN SOOPers in head-to-head records or a perceived skill gap in current squad composition. Comparable LCK opening-round matches in prior seasons have occasionally settled at extreme probabilities when regional power hierarchies were clearly stratified, though upsets remain possible when newer rosters face established competition.

Traders should monitor official LCK schedule confirmations and any roster announcements through May 14, as player substitutions or last-minute changes occasionally alter competitive balance. The ten-hour settlement window is tight; any technical delays, server issues, or match postponements beyond 22 May would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. Regulatory accessibility varies by jurisdiction: German operators face GlüStV compliance requirements for esports betting, whilst US CFTC oversight remains limited for prediction markets under $1,500 notional value without KYC documentation, though state-level restrictions apply independently.

Methodology

We track LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.