Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Cusco FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Independiente Medellín (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Cusco FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Independiente Medellín (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Cusco FC host Independiente Medellín in a Copa Libertadores group-stage match in Cusco, with the market here tied to the number and type of “more” outcomes rather than the result itself. The 0% crowd price is best read as a data point on structuring, not a view on football: these contracts often attract very little early participation when the event is niche, the settlement language is technical, or the outcome depends on live scoring definitions. Comparable Libertadores proposition markets can stay thin until the line-up sheet, referee appointment, and confirmed competition rules are public, then reprice sharply once the relevant stats provider is locked in.
For context, this sits inside a broader regulatory and access picture that matters for settlement risk and participation. German GlüStV rules can limit availability of certain gambling-like products to German users, while US CFTC reach is relevant where a market is treated as a derivatives-style event contract rather than a simple sportsbook bet. The “no-KYC up to $1,500” framing usually means small-value access can be offered with lighter identity checks, but it does not remove platform controls, jurisdictional restrictions, or withdrawal scrutiny once users approach higher limits. For this specific market, traders should watch any late team news, official Libertadores match documents, and whether the platform’s sports-data source confirms the scoring feed before kick-off; the match itself has already produced a 3-2 result in recent reporting, which can matter if settlement depends on an exact replayed or same-match designation rather than a fresh fixture.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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