Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Other | — | |
| Merab Dvalishvili | 82% YES | 18% NO |
| Cory Sandhagen | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Song Yadong | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Rob Font | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Pedro Munhoz | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Petr Yan, the former UFC bantamweight champion, requires an official UFC announcement with a confirmed fight date to trigger resolution. The market settles on the identity of his next opponent, not on fight outcomes or cancellations. As of late 2024, Yan has competed sporadically following his title loss to Aljamain Sterling and subsequent divisional shifts, making the timing of his next scheduled bout uncertain within the 2026 window.
Comparable markets tracking fighter matchups show that UFC announcements often occur 6–12 weeks before scheduled events, though injury or contractual delays can extend gaps significantly. Yan's recent activity level and ranking position will influence whether promoters prioritise him for title contention, interim bouts, or catchweight arrangements. Historical precedent suggests fighters at his career stage face either accelerated matchmaking (if pursuing title shots) or extended layoffs (if recovering from injury or contract negotiations). The bantamweight and featherweight divisions remain fluid, with rankings shifts directly affecting available opponents.
Traders should monitor UFC's official fighter roster updates, injury reports from credible MMA media outlets such as MMA Junkie, and Dana White's public statements regarding divisional plans. Any official announcement—posted via UFC.com, social media with a date confirmation, or press releases—triggers resolution immediately. The market's accessibility varies by jurisdiction: German traders face GlüStV restrictions on unregulated prediction markets; US participants encounter CFTC oversight of event derivatives; UK-based traders on compliant platforms may access markets without KYC requirements up to £1,200 (approximately $1,500 USD equivalent), though individual platform policies differ. Settlement extends through December 2026, providing substantial time for matchmaking developments.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.1M.
Methodology
This page reviews Who will Petr Yan fight next? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Who will Petr Yan fight next? on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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