Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Tax UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5) | 100% |
| Match Winner | 75% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs Paper Rex (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-6.5) vs Karmine Corp (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-5.5) vs Karmine Corp (+5.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% |
| Map Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Paper Rex (+1.5) | 1% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-4.5) vs Paper Rex (+4.5) | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs Karmine Corp (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs Karmine Corp (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-3.5) vs Paper Rex (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Karmine Corp (-2.5) vs Paper Rex (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: karmine corp vs paper rex (bo3) - esports world cup group b. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant Elimination match between Karmine Corp and Paper Rex in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 4 at 9:45AM ET. This market …
Methodology
This overview of Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Is Polymarket legal in my country?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket Tax UK has a different geo footprint.
- Do I need to KYC for Polymarket Tax UK?
- Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
- How are winnings taxed?
- Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
- What happens during a tax audit?
- You're responsible for documenting your trades. Polymarket Tax UK exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
- Is there a withdrawal cap?
- No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
Trade Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports … on Polymarket Tax UK
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