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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

"Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Polymarket Tax UK as a Polymarket alternative.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $322K Liquidity: $444K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Tax UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.575%
Match Winner72%
Map 2 Winner55%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)50%
O/U 2.5 Games31%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)1%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: gentle mates vs nrg (bo3) - esports world cup playoffs. This market refers to the Valorant Quarterfinal 2 match between Gentle Mates and NRG in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gentl…

Methodology

This overview of Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket Tax UK has a different geo footprint.
How are winnings taxed?
Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Polymarket Tax UK exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Polymarket Tax UK would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
and

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