Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Germany meet Côte d’Ivoire in a World Cup group-stage match, and this exact-score market is resolved on the 90-minute result only, with stoppage time included and extra time or penalties excluded. The crowd-implied 4% YES is therefore a bet on a single listed scoreline, not on the match winner or a broader goals range; if the final score falls outside the specified outcomes, the contract resolves to *Any Other Score*. FIFA’s match centre lists the fixture at Toronto Stadium, underscoring that settlement depends on the officially recorded final score rather than any knockout-stage tie-break process.[5]

For context, exact-score markets usually price in strongly into low probabilities because football scorelines cluster around a few common outcomes, particularly 1-0, 1-1, 2-0 and 2-1. FOX Sports’ live box score for this fixture shows total-goals pricing around 2.5, which is consistent with a market expecting a modest scoring environment rather than a high-volatility shootout.[1] ESPN’s and Sky Sports’ match listings also point to a standard group-stage meeting, a format that tends to compress score distribution compared with knockout matches.[3][9]

On accessibility and regulation, the German GlüStV framework matters because it reflects Germany’s tighter gambling rules, including limits on product access and player verification, while US CFTC reach is relevant where a contract is treated as an event-based derivative rather than a conventional sportsbook bet. For this market, “no-KYC up to $1,500” means smaller participation can be available without identity verification, but that does not remove jurisdictional restrictions or override local onboarding checks once thresholds are exceeded; the practical effect is easier entry for low-stakes trading, not blanket access. Traders should watch pre-match team news, line-up confirmations and any official scheduling changes, because a postponement would keep the market open until completion under the description provided.[5]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Tax UK?

Zero. Polymarket Tax UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Tax UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.