Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Canada and Bosnia-Herzegovina will meet in a FIFA World Cup group-stage fixture on 12 June 2026, with the match kicking off at 3:00 PM ET. This market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time; any outcome not explicitly listed resolves to "Any Other Score." The 11% crowd probability reflects the specificity required: predicting one exact scoreline among dozens of plausible outcomes carries inherent difficulty, and the low probability suggests traders view most individual score predictions as unlikely events.

Historical World Cup group-stage matches between nations of comparable strength and development show that exact-score markets typically cluster probability mass around low-scoring results (0–0, 1–0, 1–1) and away from high-scoring lines. Canada's recent World Cup appearances have produced modest goal tallies; Bosnia-Herzegovina qualified for the 2026 tournament after a competitive qualifying campaign. Neither side is favoured to generate the 3+ goal margins that would settle many alternative outcomes, which partly explains why any single exact score remains a minority-probability event.

Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury updates from both federations in the weeks before 12 June, as absences of key players can shift expected goal-scoring patterns. Fixture congestion in the group stage—both teams' preceding matches and recovery schedules—may influence tactical approach and fatigue levels. Weather conditions at the venue and any late team-sheet changes announced within 24 hours of kick-off historically affect scoring frequency. Under German GlüStV and US CFTC frameworks, this market's accessibility depends on the host platform's licensing; no-KYC thresholds up to £1,000 (approximately $1,500) typically apply to individual prediction markets in jurisdictions permitting retail participation without enhanced identity verification, though exact-score markets may carry higher scrutiny due to their granular settlement criteria.

Methodology

This page reviews Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Tax UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Tax UK?

Zero. Polymarket Tax UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.