Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Tax UK Pick polygram.ink |
5% | 95% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
5% | 95% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Tax UK.
Active sub-markets
| Jordan (-1.5) | 5% Jordan | 95% Colombia |
| Colombia (-1.5) | 61% Colombia | 39% Jordan |
| Jordan (-2.5) | 1% Jordan | 99% Colombia |
| Colombia (-2.5) | 30% Colombia | 71% Jordan |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| O/U 1.5 | 84% Over | 17% Under |
Market context
Jordan will face Colombia in a FIFA International Friendly on 7 June 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The 5% implied probability of additional markets launching reflects the relatively modest profile of this fixture within the broader international football calendar. Friendlies between lower-ranked nations—Jordan currently sits outside the top 100 in FIFA rankings—typically generate less trading volume and fewer derivative market requests than competitive qualifiers or tournament matches. The settlement window closes at 23:00 UTC on match day, allowing traders a narrow window to position ahead of the final whistle.
Historical precedent suggests that markets for friendlies between non-traditional powerhouses rarely expand beyond basic match outcomes. Comparable fixtures between similarly ranked sides have seen minimal secondary-market demand; traders tend to concentrate liquidity on major confederations' matches or qualifying rounds where stakes carry competitive weight. The current 5% probability reflects this pattern—most prediction market operators allocate resources to higher-traffic events, leaving niche friendlies with limited market proliferation.
Regulatory frameworks will shape market accessibility. Under German GlüStV provisions, operators licensed in Germany face stricter position-limit and reporting requirements for sports derivatives, potentially constraining additional market creation. US CFTC oversight extends to binary sports contracts offered to American residents, though the no-KYC threshold up to $1,500 USD allows retail participation in smaller positions without full identity verification. For this specific market, traders should monitor official FIFA fixture confirmations and any late squad announcements, which occasionally trigger friendly cancellations or rescheduling that would affect settlement mechanics.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $322K.
Methodology
This page reviews Jordan vs. Colombia - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Tax UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Tax UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Tax UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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