Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Tax UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| UTSA vs. Texas State | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| O/U 46.5 | 100% |
| O/U 48.5 | 100% |
| O/U 50.5 | 100% |
| O/U 52.5 | 100% |
| O/U 54.5 | 100% |
| O/U 56.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| UTSA 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| UTSA O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UTSA O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UTSA O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UTSA O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Texas State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Texas State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Texas State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Texas State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Brad Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Will Henderson III: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Beau Sparks: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chris Dawn Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| AJ Wilson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Torrance Burgess Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brandon High Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaylen Jenkins: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Davian Jackson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| A'Marion Peterson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| David Amador II: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Brandon Young Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tucker Cusano: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mekhi Anderson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Owen McCown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jordan Martin: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| DJ Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| T.J. West: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Miles Campbell: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jamel Hardy: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 64.5 | 0% |
| O/U 66.5 | 0% |
| Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| Spread -27.5 | 0% |
| Spread -31.5 | 0% |
| Spread -34.5 | 0% |
| O/U 58.5 | 0% |
| O/U 60.5 | 0% |
| O/U 62.5 | 0% |
| O/U 68.5 | 0% |
| O/U 70.5 | 0% |
| O/U 72.5 | 0% |
| O/U 74.5 | 0% |
| O/U 76.5 | 0% |
| O/U 78.5 | 0% |
| O/U 80.5 | 0% |
| O/U 82.5 | 0% |
| O/U 84.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 28.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 37.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 40.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 27.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 30.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| Texas State O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| UTSA 1H O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| UTSA 1H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| UTSA 1H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 31.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 34.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 37.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Texas State 2H O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| UTSA O/U 38.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| Spread -18.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -22.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 38.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 0% |
Market context
UTSA vs. Texas State — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between UTSA and Texas State, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "UTSA" if UTSA win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $125K.
Methodology
This overview of UTSA vs. Texas State reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Polymarket legal in my country?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket Tax UK has a different geo footprint.
- Is Polymarket regulated by the UKGC?
- No. Polymarket is not licensed by the UK Gambling Commission (UKGC). It is a decentralised prediction market operated under US regulation. UK traders can use it but do not benefit from UKGC dispute resolution or player protection requirements.
- What are the HMRC tax rules on Polymarket profits for UK traders?
- Polymarket profits are treated as cryptocurrency disposal events by HMRC. Each USDC settlement is a taxable event subject to Capital Gains Tax (CGT). For 2026/27, the CGT rate is 18% (basic rate) or 24% (higher rate). The annual CGT exemption is £3,000. Report via HMRC Self Assessment if your total crypto gains exceed £3,000 or proceeds exceed £50,000.
- Does Polymarket KYC apply to UK users?
- Yes. Polymarket requires KYC (Know Your Customer) verification for all users, including UK residents. You must provide a government-issued photo ID and a selfie. The process typically takes 5–10 minutes via their ID verification provider.
- What is the legal difference between Polymarket and Betfair Exchange for UK traders?
- Betfair Exchange is UKGC-licensed, meaning UK consumer protections apply and winnings are typically tax-free. Polymarket is not UKGC-licensed — it operates under decentralised blockchain rules. Profits from Polymarket are subject to HMRC CGT as crypto disposals. Choose based on your regulatory preference and tax situation.
Trade UTSA vs. Texas State on Polymarket Tax UK
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