Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Tax UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -20.5 | 96% |
| Spread -23.5 | 96% |
| Spread -4.5 | 95% |
| Spread -13.5 | 95% |
| O/U 34.5 | 95% |
| Spread -16.5 | 94% |
| O/U 36.5 | 94% |
| Spread -26.5 | 94% |
| Spread -24.5 | 93% |
| Spread -5.5 | 91% |
| Spread -7.5 | 91% |
| Spread -14.5 | 90% |
| Spread -21.5 | 90% |
| O/U 38.5 | 90% |
| Spread -17.5 | 89% |
| Spread -27.5 | 89% |
| O/U 40.5 | 89% |
| Spread -8.5 | 87% |
| Spread -29.5 | 87% |
| Spread -30.5 | 86% |
| O/U 42.5 | 84% |
| Spread -31.5 | 83% |
| O/U 44.5 | 80% |
| Spread -33.5 | 80% |
| Spread -34.5 | 78% |
| O/U 46.5 | 75% |
| Spread -35.5 | 74% |
| Rice O/U 1.5 | 73% |
| Spread -36.5 | 73% |
| Rice O/U 0.5 | 73% |
| Rice O/U 2.5 | 72% |
| Notre Dame O/U 42.5 | 72% |
| Spread -10.5 | 71% |
| Notre Dame O/U 43.5 | 71% |
| Spread -37.5 | 71% |
| Spread -6.5 | 68% |
| O/U 48.5 | 68% |
| Spread -38.5 | 67% |
| Spread -39.5 | 65% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 64% |
| O/U 50.5 | 63% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 63% |
| Notre Dame O/U 45.5 | 63% |
| Spread -40.5 | 63% |
| Spread -0.5 | 62% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 62% |
| Notre Dame O/U 46.5 | 62% |
| Spread -41.5 | 62% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 61% |
| O/U 52.5 | 56% |
| O/U 53.5 | 56% |
| Notre Dame O/U 48.5 | 56% |
| Spread -42.5 | 56% |
| O/U 54.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -24.5 | 55% |
| Spread -43.5 | 55% |
| Spread -44.5 | 53% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -11.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -18.5 | 52% |
| 2Q Spread -16.5 | 52% |
| Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -26.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 51% |
| 2H Spread -19.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 51% |
| Micah Gilbert: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| Rice O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Ben Grice: Anytime Touchdown | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Rice O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rice O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rice O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Rice O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Rice O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -27.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| Rice 1H O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Rice 2H O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rice 2H O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Aneyas Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jordan Faison: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Nolan James Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| CJ Carr: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cooper Flanagan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kedren Young: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jaden Greathouse: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Mylan Graham: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| James Flanigan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tyvonn Byars: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jacurri Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Braylen Walker: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Payton Matthews: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Elijah Burress: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Matt Jeffery: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| DAndre Hardeman Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Davis Lane Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Carson Morgan: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Max Mosey: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Rice 1H O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rice 1H O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Rice 1H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Rice 2H O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rice 2H O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Rice 2H O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame 2H O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Notre Dame O/U 49.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Rice O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 47% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 47% |
| Spread -45.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 46% |
| Notre Dame 1H O/U 30.5 | 46% |
| Notre Dame O/U 51.5 | 46% |
| O/U 56.5 | 45% |
| Spread -46.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 44% |
| Rice O/U 6.5 | 44% |
| Rice 1H O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Spread -47.5 | 43% |
| Rice O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 41% |
| O/U 58.5 | 40% |
| Notre Dame O/U 52.5 | 39% |
| Spread -48.5 | 39% |
| Notre Dame O/U 54.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -28.5 | 37% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -29.5 | 36% |
| O/U 60.5 | 35% |
| Spread -49.5 | 35% |
| Notre Dame O/U 55.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 34% |
| Spread -50.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -22.5 | 33% |
| Spread -51.5 | 31% |
| O/U 62.5 | 28% |
| Spread -52.5 | 28% |
| Rice O/U 8.5 | 26% |
| Rice O/U 7.5 | 26% |
| O/U 64.5 | 24% |
| Spread -54.5 | 24% |
| Rice O/U 9.5 | 24% |
| Spread -57.5 | 18% |
| O/U 66.5 | 17% |
| Spread -58.5 | 16% |
| O/U 68.5 | 15% |
| Rice O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Rice O/U 10.5 | 14% |
| Rice O/U 12.5 | 13% |
| O/U 70.5 | 11% |
| Spread -60.5 | 11% |
| Spread -61.5 | 11% |
| O/U 72.5 | 9% |
| O/U 74.5 | 8% |
| Spread -64.5 | 6% |
| Rice vs. Notre Dame | 0% |
Market context
Rice vs. Notre Dame — current market-implied probability: 96%. In the upcoming college football game between Rice and Notre Dame, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rice" if Rice win the game. This market will resolve to "Notre …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $119K.
Methodology
This overview of Rice vs. Notre Dame reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Do I need to KYC for Polymarket Tax UK?
- Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
- Is Polymarket regulated by the UKGC?
- No. Polymarket is not licensed by the UK Gambling Commission (UKGC). It is a decentralised prediction market operated under US regulation. UK traders can use it but do not benefit from UKGC dispute resolution or player protection requirements.
- What are the HMRC tax rules on Polymarket profits for UK traders?
- Polymarket profits are treated as cryptocurrency disposal events by HMRC. Each USDC settlement is a taxable event subject to Capital Gains Tax (CGT). For 2026/27, the CGT rate is 18% (basic rate) or 24% (higher rate). The annual CGT exemption is £3,000. Report via HMRC Self Assessment if your total crypto gains exceed £3,000 or proceeds exceed £50,000.
- Does Polymarket KYC apply to UK users?
- Yes. Polymarket requires KYC (Know Your Customer) verification for all users, including UK residents. You must provide a government-issued photo ID and a selfie. The process typically takes 5–10 minutes via their ID verification provider.
- What is the legal difference between Polymarket and Betfair Exchange for UK traders?
- Betfair Exchange is UKGC-licensed, meaning UK consumer protections apply and winnings are typically tax-free. Polymarket is not UKGC-licensed — it operates under decentralised blockchain rules. Profits from Polymarket are subject to HMRC CGT as crypto disposals. Choose based on your regulatory preference and tax situation.
Trade Rice vs. Notre Dame on Polymarket Tax UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →