PGA Tour: the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday Winner

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Memorial Tournament presented by Workday is an annual PGA Tour event held at Muirfield Village Golf Club in Ohio, typically staged in early June. The 2026 edition will determine which of the listed competitors claims victory in one of professional golf's most prestigious regular-season tournaments. Should an unlisted player win, the market resolves to "Other"; if a listed player is eliminated under official PGA Tour rules, that player's market immediately resolves "No".

Historical resolution patterns show that Memorial markets rarely settle on listed players when crowd probability sits at 0%, reflecting either incomplete field information at market creation or significant uncertainty around competitor form. Comparable PGA Tour majors and regular-season events demonstrate that early-season probability distributions often shift substantially once official field confirmations and recent tournament results become public. The current 0% reading suggests either no listed players are confirmed for the 2026 field, or the market was created before typical pre-tournament announcement cycles.

Traders should monitor PGA Tour official announcements regarding field commitments, which typically occur 4–6 weeks before the June event. Recent injury reports, world ranking fluctuations, and performance at preceding tour events in May will shape which listed competitors carry realistic winning chances. Under German GlüStV regulations, this market may face restrictions if offered to German residents without appropriate licensing; US CFTC reach applies to derivatives-like prediction instruments, though prediction markets under $1,500 notional value often operate in regulatory grey zones. The "no-KYC up to $1,500" threshold means retail traders can access smaller positions without identity verification, though larger stakes typically require full compliance documentation.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Tax UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.