Qatar vs. Switzerland - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Qatar will face Switzerland in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 13 June at 3:00 PM ET. The market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Any score not explicitly listed settles as "Any Other Score." The 5% crowd probability assigned to this specific outcome reflects the low likelihood of predicting an exact scoreline in international football, where outcomes cluster around narrow margins rather than precise results.

Historical World Cup group-stage data shows exact-score markets typically settle on outcomes between 0–0 and 2–1, with frequencies declining sharply beyond 2–2. Qatar's participation as host nation in 2022 saw mixed results; they exited the group stage without a win. Switzerland qualified for the 2026 tournament and reached the quarter-finals in 2022, indicating stronger squad depth and tournament experience. Comparable exact-score markets on previous World Cup fixtures have seen winning probabilities range from 2% to 8% depending on team strength disparity and historical scoring patterns between opponents.

Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury updates through May 2026, particularly regarding key attacking players from both nations. Switzerland's recent UEFA Nations League performance and Qatar's preparation friendlies will provide form indicators closer to the fixture. Fixture scheduling within the group stage may also affect team selection and intensity; if either side has already secured or been eliminated from knockout qualification before this match, tactical approaches could shift significantly. The settlement window closes at 19:00 UTC on match day, allowing only the final whistle to determine resolution.

Methodology

We track Qatar vs. Switzerland - Exact Score on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Tax UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Tax UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.