Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Tax UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Tax UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Tax UK.
Active sub-markets
| Portugal 0 - 0 DR Congo | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Portugal 1 - 0 DR Congo | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Portugal 1 - 1 DR Congo | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Portugal 0 - 3 DR Congo | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Portugal 1 - 3 DR Congo | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Portugal and DR Congo have already met in the group stage, and the match finished **1-1** after 90 minutes, with Portugal held by DR Congo in a result that was notable for DR Congo’s first World Cup goal and point.[1][2][5] For an exact-score market, that leaves only the listed scorelines that match the final regulation result, while any unmatched score would fall into *Any Other Score* under the contract terms.
The crowd-implied **0% YES** looks consistent with a market that has likely already settled in economic terms against alternative outcomes, because the observed result is no longer in doubt if the match reference is the June 17 fixture. Similar World Cup exact-score contracts typically price low when a draw or narrow favourite result has already become public, because the settlement test is the regulation score only, excluding extra time and penalties. For accessibility, German **GlüStV** restrictions can matter because locally regulated gambling rules may limit participation by German users, while US-facing venues can still sit within the broader **CFTC** perimeter if they are treated as event contracts rather than sports bets.
On access, “**no-KYC up to $1,500**” means a user may be able to trade or withdraw below that threshold without full identity verification, but it does not remove jurisdictional checks, sanctions screening, or platform limits tied to regulatory exposure. Traders watching this market mainly need to track official fixture confirmation, any postponement or abandonment, and whether the exchange is using the final regulation score from the rescheduled or completed match; FIFA’s match reporting already records the 1-1 result, which is the key catalyst for any remaining settlement ambiguity.[5]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Tax UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Tax UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Portugal vs. DR Congo - Exact Score on Polymarket Tax UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Polymarket Tax UK →