Haiti vs. Scotland - Total Corners

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Haiti and Scotland will meet in a FIFA World Cup qualifying match on 13 June 2026, with kick-off at 9:00 PM ET. The corners market settles on the total number of corner kicks awarded during the match, with the current crowd-implied probability of 24% YES suggesting traders expect the threshold to be exceeded. Corner totals in World Cup qualifying typically range from 8 to 14 per match, depending on team pressing intensity, defensive shape, and referee interpretation of play.

Historical data from recent World Cup qualifying cycles shows that matches involving smaller footballing nations—Haiti ranks 82nd in FIFA standings—tend toward lower corner counts when facing established sides. Scotland, ranked 37th, has averaged 9.2 corners per qualifying match over the past two cycles. Haiti's defensive approach in CONCACAF qualifying has been notably cautious, limiting attacking width and thus reducing opportunities for corner-generating play. The 24% probability reflects market consensus that the combined corner output will fall below the settlement threshold, likely positioned between 9 and 11 corners.

Traders should monitor team news releases through early June, particularly regarding Scotland's squad availability and Haiti's tactical preparation. Referee assignments, typically announced 48 hours before matches, can materially affect corner frequency; stricter officials tend to award fewer marginal calls. Weather conditions in the host nation will also influence play—wind and pitch conditions affect both attacking patterns and ball movement into the box. The settlement window closes at 01:00 UTC on 14 June, allowing only post-match verification before closure.

Methodology

We track Haiti vs. Scotland - Total Corners on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Tax UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Tax UK?

Zero. Polymarket Tax UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.