Haiti vs. Scotland - Halftime Result

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Haiti will face Scotland in a 2026 FIFA World Cup group-stage match on 13 June at 9:00 PM ET. The halftime result market settles on the scoreline after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, with three outcomes: Haiti win, draw, or Scotland win. The 0% implied probability on a Haiti halftime victory reflects historical performance gaps; Scotland ranks approximately 40th in the FIFA world rankings, whilst Haiti typically sits outside the top 80. Direct precedent is limited—the nations have not met in competitive fixtures—but Haiti's recent competitive record shows limited offensive output in qualifying rounds, whilst Scotland demonstrated defensive solidity during their 2026 qualification campaign, conceding fewer than one goal per match on average.

Regulatory frameworks governing this market vary by jurisdiction. Under German GlüStV provisions, prediction markets on sporting events fall within gaming supervision if operators hold a licence; UK-based traders face no specific KYC requirement for markets under £1,500 notional value, though operators must comply with Gambling Commission standards. US CFTC reach extends to binary sports contracts only if they settle on real-world events and involve US persons; this halftime market likely escapes CFTC jurisdiction as a non-binary outcome. The settlement window closes 14 June at 01:00 UTC, approximately 4 hours after final whistle, allowing time for official confirmation of halftime scorelines.

Team news and injury updates typically emerge 48–72 hours before fixture dates. Scottish squad announcements from the Scottish Football Association and Haiti's roster confirmation from the Fédération Haïtienne de Football will clarify available personnel. Weather conditions in the host nation and venue surface may influence early-match tempo and defensive stability.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Tax UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Tax UK?

Zero. Polymarket Tax UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.