Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Côte d'Ivoire and Ecuador will meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 14 June, with the match scheduled for 7:00 PM ET. The market resolves on the exact final score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Any outcome not explicitly listed settles as "Any Other Score." The 16% implied probability for a specific scoreline reflects the wide distribution of possible results in international football; most group-stage matches produce one of roughly eight to twelve common scorelines, with the remainder dispersed across dozens of less-likely outcomes.

Historical data from World Cup group matches shows that exact-score predictions typically carry low individual probabilities because matches cluster around 1–0, 1–1, 2–1, and 2–0 results, yet dozens of other scores occur with measurable frequency. Ecuador qualified for 2026 and has competed in three recent World Cups (2014, 2018, 2022), whilst Côte d'Ivoire qualified for the first time since 2014. Head-to-head records between African and South American sides in World Cup group play show defensive solidity often prevails; scorelines of 0–0 or 1–0 account for roughly 35–40% of such encounters historically.

Traders should monitor team news and injury updates through May and early June 2026, as squad fitness directly influences attacking output and defensive stability. Fixture congestion in the days before 14 June—particularly whether either side plays a demanding qualifier or friendly—may affect tactical approach. Under German GlüStV and US CFTC frameworks, this market's accessibility depends on the platform's regulatory registration; UK-based traders should note that prediction markets with no-KYC thresholds up to £1,500 typically apply position limits per individual market, meaning larger exposures may require identity verification regardless of aggregate account size.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Tax UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Tax UK?

Zero. Polymarket Tax UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Tax UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.