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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

"Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Polymarket Tax UK as a Polymarket alternative.

Ends in Daytime 100% First Blood in Game 1? 100% First Blood in Game 2? 75% Game 2 Winner 56% Volume: $1.8M Liquidity: $1.0M Closes: 18 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Tax UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ends in Daytime100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
First Blood in Game 2?75%
Game 2 Winner56%
O/U 2.5 Games56%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?50%
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)50%
Match Winner30%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan1%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to dota 2: team yandex vs parivision (bo3) - esports world cup playoffs. This market refers to the Dota 2 Semifinal 2 match between Team Yandex and PARIVISION in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 18 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Te…

Methodology

This overview of Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Can I trade anonymously?
Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Polymarket Tax UK stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Polymarket Tax UK exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Polymarket Tax UK would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
and

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