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Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

"Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A" — odds, fees, regulatory status. PolyGram as a Polymarket alternative.

94 outcomes · leader: Ends in Daytime at 100%

0% YES 100% NO Volume: $499K 24h volume: $490K Opened: 11 May 2026 Closes: 13 May 2026

Resolution criteria: This market refers to the Dota 2 match between ex-HEROIC and Virtus.pro in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 13 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "ex-HEROIC" if ex-HEROIC win the match against Virtus.pro. This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win the match against ex-HEROIC. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

Open live market →
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

Market statistics

Total volume
$499K
24h volume
$490K
Open interest
$264

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Available prediction outcomes (94)

Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.

#1 Ends in Daytime
Ends in Daytime ▲ +48.9%
100% Trade →
#2 Both Teams Beat Roshan
Both Teams Beat Roshan ▲ +64.5%
100% Trade →
#3 First Blood in Game 1?
First Blood in Game 1? ▲ +50.0%
Vol $50 · 24h $50
100% Trade →
#4 First Blood in Game 2?
First Blood in Game 2? ▲ +50.0%
Vol $50 · 24h $50
100% Trade →
#5 Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2? ▲ +50.0%
Vol $50 · 24h $50
100% Trade →
#6 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? ▲ +50.0%
Vol $50 · 24h $50
100% Trade →
#7 Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2? ▲ +50.0%
Vol $50 · 24h $50
100% Trade →
#8 Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2? ▲ +50.0%
Vol $50 · 24h $50
100% Trade →
#9 Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2? ▲ +50.0%
Vol $50 · 24h $50
100% Trade →
#10 Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2?
Vol $50 · 24h $50
100% Trade →
#11 Game Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs ex-HEROIC (+1.5)
Game Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs ex-HEROIC (+1.5)
100% Trade →
#12 Total Kills Over/Under 37.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 37.5 in Game 1?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
100% Trade →
#13 Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
100% Trade →
#14 Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 1?
24h $5
100% Trade →
#15 Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
100% Trade →
#16 Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 2?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
100% Trade →
#17 Total Kills Over/Under 56.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 56.5 in Game 2?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
100% Trade →
#18 Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
100% Trade →
#19 Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 2?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
100% Trade →
#20 Total Kills Over/Under 58.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 58.5 in Game 2?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
100% Trade →
#21 Total Kills Over/Under 57.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 57.5 in Game 2?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
100% Trade →
#22 Total Kills Over/Under 61.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 61.5 in Game 2?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
100% Trade →
#23 Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 2?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
100% Trade →
#24 Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
100% Trade →
#25 Total Kills Over/Under 63.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 63.5 in Game 2?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
100% Trade →
#26 Total Kills Over/Under 62.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 62.5 in Game 2?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
100% Trade →
#27 Total Kills Over/Under 64.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 64.5 in Game 2?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
100% Trade →
#28 Total Kills Over/Under 66.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 66.5 in Game 2?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
100% Trade →
#29 Total Kills Over/Under 67.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 67.5 in Game 2?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
100% Trade →
#30 Total Kills Over/Under 68.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 68.5 in Game 2?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
100% Trade →
#31 Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
100% Trade →
#32 Total Kills Over/Under 69.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 69.5 in Game 2?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
100% Trade →
#33 Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
100% Trade →
#34 Total Kills Over/Under 71.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 71.5 in Game 2?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
100% Trade →
#35 Total Kills Over/Under 72.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 72.5 in Game 2?
Vol $105 · 24h $105
100% Trade →
#36 Total Kills Over/Under 76.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 76.5 in Game 2?
Vol $105 · 24h $105
100% Trade →
#37 Total Kills Over/Under 78.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 78.5 in Game 2?
Vol $105 · 24h $105
100% Trade →
#38 Total Kills Over/Under 77.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 77.5 in Game 2?
Vol $105 · 24h $105
100% Trade →
#39 Total Kills Over/Under 79.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 79.5 in Game 2?
Vol $5 · 24h $5
100% Trade →
#40 Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?
Vol $105 · 24h $105
100% Trade →
#41 Total Kills Over/Under 73.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 73.5 in Game 2?
Vol $105 · 24h $105
100% Trade →
#42 Total Kills Over/Under 74.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 74.5 in Game 2?
Vol $105 · 24h $105
100% Trade →
#43 Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2?
Vol $10 · 24h $10
100% Trade →
#44 Ends in Daytime
Ends in Daytime ▼ -1.5%
50% Trade →
#45 Both Teams Beat Roshan
Both Teams Beat Roshan ▲ +13.5%
50% Trade →
#46 Both Teams Destroy Barracks
Both Teams Destroy Barracks ▼ -2.5%
50% Trade →
#47 Any Player Ultra Kill
Any Player Ultra Kill ▼ -4.5%
50% Trade →
#48 Any Player Rampage
Any Player Rampage ▼ -7.5%
50% Trade →
#49 Match Winner
Match Winner ▼ -55.5%
Vol $115K · 24h $106K
0% Trade →
#50 Game 1 Winner
Game 1 Winner ▼ -54.4%
Vol $158K · 24h $158K
0% Trade →
#51 Game 2 Winner
Game 2 Winner ▼ -54.4%
Vol $221K · 24h $221K
0% Trade →
#52 O/U 2.5 Games
O/U 2.5 Games ▼ -49.5%
Vol $36 · 24h $36
0% Trade →
#53 Game Handicap: ex-HEROIC (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)
Game Handicap: ex-HEROIC (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5) ▼ -31.4%
Vol $511 · 24h $508
0% Trade →
#54 Both Teams Beat Roshan
Both Teams Beat Roshan ▼ -35.9%
0% Trade →
#55 Both Teams Destroy Barracks
Both Teams Destroy Barracks ▼ -28.4%
Vol $10 · 24h $10
0% Trade →
#56 Any Player Ultra Kill
Any Player Ultra Kill ▼ -29.4%
0% Trade →
#57 Any Player Rampage
Any Player Rampage ▼ -3.8%
Vol $6
0% Trade →
#58 Ends in Daytime
Ends in Daytime ▼ -50.9%
Vol $10 · 24h $10
0% Trade →
#59 Both Teams Destroy Barracks
Both Teams Destroy Barracks ▼ -28.0%
0% Trade →
#60 Any Player Ultra Kill
Any Player Ultra Kill ▼ -28.9%
Vol $10 · 24h $10
0% Trade →
#61 Any Player Rampage
Any Player Rampage ▼ -3.8%
Vol $6
0% Trade →
#62 Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1? ▼ -50.0%
Vol $50 · 24h $50
0% Trade →
#63 Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1? ▼ -50.0%
Vol $50 · 24h $50
0% Trade →
#64 Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1? ▼ -50.0%
Vol $50 · 24h $50
0% Trade →
#65 Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? ▼ -50.0%
Vol $50 · 24h $50
0% Trade →
#66 Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1? ▼ -50.0%
Vol $50 · 24h $50
0% Trade →
#67 Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1?
Vol $50 · 24h $50
0% Trade →
#68 Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
0% Trade →
#69 Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
0% Trade →
#70 Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 1?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
0% Trade →
#71 Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 1?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
0% Trade →
#72 Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
0% Trade →
#73 Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 1?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
0% Trade →
#74 Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
0% Trade →
#75 Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
0% Trade →
#76 Total Kills Over/Under 38.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 38.5 in Game 1?
Vol $55 · 24h $55
0% Trade →
#77 Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?
24h $5
0% Trade →
#78 Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 1?
Vol $50 · 24h $55
0% Trade →
#79 Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 1?
24h $5
0% Trade →
#80 Total Kills Over/Under 56.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 56.5 in Game 1?
24h $5
0% Trade →
#81 Total Kills Over/Under 57.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 57.5 in Game 1?
24h $5
0% Trade →
#82 Total Kills Over/Under 58.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 58.5 in Game 1?
24h $5
0% Trade →
#83 Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 1?
Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 1?
24h $5
0% Trade →
#84 Total Kills Over/Under 83.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 83.5 in Game 2?
Vol $5 · 24h $5
0% Trade →
#85 Total Kills Over/Under 82.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 82.5 in Game 2?
Vol $5 · 24h $5
0% Trade →
#86 Total Kills Over/Under 81.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 81.5 in Game 2?
Vol $5 · 24h $5
0% Trade →
#87 Total Kills Over/Under 84.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 84.5 in Game 2?
Vol $105 · 24h $105
0% Trade →
#88 Total Kills Over/Under 86.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 86.5 in Game 2?
Vol $105 · 24h $105
0% Trade →
#89 Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2?
Vol $105 · 24h $105
0% Trade →
#90 Total Kills Over/Under 88.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 88.5 in Game 2?
Vol $105 · 24h $105
0% Trade →
#91 Total Kills Over/Under 87.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 87.5 in Game 2?
Vol $105 · 24h $105
0% Trade →
#92 Total Kills Over/Under 91.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 91.5 in Game 2?
Vol $105 · 24h $105
0% Trade →
#93 Total Kills Over/Under 89.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 89.5 in Game 2?
Vol $105 · 24h $105
0% Trade →
#94 Total Kills Over/Under 90.5 in Game 2?
Total Kills Over/Under 90.5 in Game 2?
Vol $105 · 24h $105
0% Trade →

Market context

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between ex-HEROIC and Virtus.pro in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 13 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "ex-HEROIC" if ex-HEROIC win the match against Virtus.pro. This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win the match against ex-HEROIC. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

Methodology

This overview of Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2storm. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

How are winnings taxed?
Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. PolyGram exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), PolyGram would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.

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