Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Zhejiang Zhiye FC play Shandong Taishan FC in the Chinese Super League, with the match having started at 12:00 UTC on 20 May in Hangzhou. The market is not a pure forecast of the football result but of whether additional listed outcomes in the “More Markets” set resolve in the affirmative by settlement. In historical terms, these markets tend to price near certainty when the underlying fixture is confirmed and the relevant stat-dependent submarkets are already aligned with the expected match environment; however, they can still shift if the settlement condition depends on data-provider definitions, abandoned-play rules, or late corrections to event logs. A 100% YES crowd price therefore reflects both the market structure and the fact that the game itself is now underway, rather than a guarantee that every dependent submarket has already resolved.
For access, the practical frame is regulatory rather than sporting. Under Germany’s GlüStV regime, online betting-style participation can be restricted or unavailable depending on product classification and operator permissions, so German users may face geoblocking or verification barriers even where the market is visible elsewhere. In the US, CFTC reach matters because prediction contracts on sports can attract commodity-derivatives scrutiny if offered to US persons or traded through US-linked venues. “No-KYC up to $1,500” means a user may be able to place limited-size positions before identity checks are triggered, but it does not remove eligibility, sanctions, residence, or platform-specific compliance screening; for this market, that affects who can participate and at what size, not how settlement is judged.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC - More Mar… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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