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USC vs. Penn State

"USC vs. Penn State" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Polymarket Tax UK as a Polymarket alternative.

USC vs. Penn State 100% Spread -7.5 100% Spread -6.5 100% Spread -5.5 100% Volume: $697K Liquidity: $696K Closes: 10 Oct 2026
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USC vs. Penn State

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Tax UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
USC vs. Penn State100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -0.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
O/U 43.5100%
O/U 45.5100%
O/U 47.5100%
O/U 49.5100%
O/U 51.5100%
O/U 53.5100%
1H O/U 21.5100%
1H O/U 24.5100%
1H O/U 27.5100%
1H O/U 30.5100%
1H O/U 33.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
1Q O/U 10.5100%
1Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 16.5100%
2Q O/U 19.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 7.5100%
USC O/U 20.5100%
USC O/U 23.5100%
USC O/U 26.5100%
USC O/U 29.5100%
USC 1H O/U 11.5100%
USC 1H O/U 13.5100%
USC 1H O/U 15.5100%
Penn State 1H O/U 12.5100%
Penn State 1H O/U 14.5100%
Penn State 1H O/U 16.5100%
USC 2H O/U 11.5100%
USC 2H O/U 13.5100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q3100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
3Q Moneyline100%
USC vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.591%
USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.591%
USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.591%
USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.591%
Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.591%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown53%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q453%
USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.553%
USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.553%
USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.553%
Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.553%
USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.553%
USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.553%
Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.553%
USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.553%
Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.553%
Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.553%
USC Field Goals Made: O/U 0.553%
Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.553%
Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.553%
USC Total Receptions: O/U 14.553%
Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.553%
USC Total Receptions: O/U 19.553%
Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 14.553%
Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 19.553%
USC Total First Downs: O/U 19.553%
USC Total First Downs: O/U 21.553%
USC Total First Downs: O/U 23.553%
USC vs. Penn State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.553%
2H Spread -3.553%
2H Spread -1.553%
2H Spread -0.553%
4Q Spread -1.553%
2H Moneyline53%
USC O/U 3.553%
4Q Moneyline53%
USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
1H Moneyline50%
1Q Moneyline50%
2Q Moneyline50%
Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.548%
Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.548%
Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.548%
USC Total Receptions: O/U 24.548%
Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 24.548%
Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 19.548%
Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 21.548%
Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 23.548%
2H O/U 21.547%
2H O/U 24.547%
2H O/U 27.547%
2H O/U 30.547%
2H O/U 33.547%
4Q O/U 10.547%
4Q O/U 13.547%
4Q O/U 16.547%
4Q O/U 19.547%
USC 2H O/U 15.547%
Penn State 2H O/U 12.547%
Penn State 2H O/U 14.547%
Penn State 2H O/U 16.547%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q447%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H47%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q347%
Game Goes to Overtime47%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown47%
Pick-Six Scored47%
USC Field Goals Made: O/U 2.547%
USC Field Goals Made: O/U 1.547%
USC vs. Penn State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.547%
2H Spread -0.547%
2H Spread -1.547%
2H Spread -3.547%
4Q Spread -0.547%
4Q Spread -1.547%
4Q Spread -2.547%
4Q Spread -3.547%
4Q Spread -5.547%
Penn State O/U 3.547%
USC vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.510%
USC vs. Penn State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.510%
USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.510%
USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.510%
Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.510%
Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.510%
USC 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.510%
USC 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.510%
Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.510%
USC vs. Penn State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.510%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -0.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -20.50%
O/U 55.50%
O/U 57.50%
O/U 59.50%
O/U 61.50%
O/U 63.50%
O/U 65.50%
O/U 67.50%
O/U 69.50%
O/U 71.50%
O/U 73.50%
O/U 75.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
3Q O/U 10.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
USC O/U 32.50%
Penn State O/U 23.50%
Penn State O/U 26.50%
Penn State O/U 29.50%
Penn State O/U 32.50%
Penn State O/U 35.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -0.50%
1H Spread -0.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
3Q Spread -0.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, usc vs. penn state stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between USC and Penn State, scheduled for October 10 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "USC" if USC win the game. This market will res…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices USC vs. Penn State at 100% for "USC vs. Penn State".

USC vs. Penn State 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $697K.

Methodology

This overview of USC vs. Penn State reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Do I need to KYC for Polymarket Tax UK?
Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
Is Polymarket regulated by the UKGC?
No. Polymarket is not licensed by the UK Gambling Commission (UKGC). It is a decentralised prediction market operated under US regulation. UK traders can use it but do not benefit from UKGC dispute resolution or player protection requirements.
What are the HMRC tax rules on Polymarket profits for UK traders?
Polymarket profits are treated as cryptocurrency disposal events by HMRC. Each USDC settlement is a taxable event subject to Capital Gains Tax (CGT). For 2026/27, the CGT rate is 18% (basic rate) or 24% (higher rate). The annual CGT exemption is £3,000. Report via HMRC Self Assessment if your total crypto gains exceed £3,000 or proceeds exceed £50,000.
Does Polymarket KYC apply to UK users?
Yes. Polymarket requires KYC (Know Your Customer) verification for all users, including UK residents. You must provide a government-issued photo ID and a selfie. The process typically takes 5–10 minutes via their ID verification provider.
What is the legal difference between Polymarket and Betfair Exchange for UK traders?
Betfair Exchange is UKGC-licensed, meaning UK consumer protections apply and winnings are typically tax-free. Polymarket is not UKGC-licensed — it operates under decentralised blockchain rules. Profits from Polymarket are subject to HMRC CGT as crypto disposals. Choose based on your regulatory preference and tax situation.
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