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Navy vs. Air Force

"Navy vs. Air Force" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Polymarket Tax UK as a Polymarket alternative.

Spread -0.5 100% Spread -1.5 100% Spread -2.5 100% Spread -3.5 100% Volume: $830K Closes: 3 Oct 2026
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Navy vs. Air Force

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Tax UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -0.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 16.5100%
Air Force 1H O/U 12.5100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2100%
Navy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5100%
Air Force Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5100%
Air Force Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5100%
Air Force Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5100%
Navy Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Navy vs. Air Force: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5100%
1H Spread -0.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
2H Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -5.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
2H Moneyline100%
3Q Moneyline100%
1Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Navy vs. Air Force0%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -0.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -20.50%
O/U 35.50%
O/U 37.50%
O/U 39.50%
O/U 41.50%
O/U 43.50%
O/U 45.50%
O/U 47.50%
O/U 49.50%
O/U 51.50%
O/U 53.50%
O/U 55.50%
O/U 57.50%
O/U 59.50%
O/U 61.50%
O/U 63.50%
O/U 65.50%
O/U 67.50%
O/U 69.50%
O/U 71.50%
O/U 73.50%
O/U 75.50%
1H O/U 21.50%
1H O/U 24.50%
1H O/U 27.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
2H O/U 21.50%
2H O/U 24.50%
2H O/U 27.50%
2H O/U 30.50%
2H O/U 33.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
3Q O/U 7.50%
3Q O/U 10.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
4Q O/U 7.50%
4Q O/U 10.50%
4Q O/U 13.50%
4Q O/U 16.50%
4Q O/U 19.50%
Navy O/U 20.50%
Navy O/U 23.50%
Navy O/U 26.50%
Navy O/U 29.50%
Navy O/U 32.50%
Air Force O/U 23.50%
Air Force O/U 26.50%
Air Force O/U 29.50%
Air Force O/U 32.50%
Air Force O/U 35.50%
Navy 1H O/U 11.50%
Navy 1H O/U 13.50%
Navy 1H O/U 15.50%
Air Force 1H O/U 14.50%
Air Force 1H O/U 16.50%
Navy 2H O/U 11.50%
Navy 2H O/U 13.50%
Navy 2H O/U 15.50%
Air Force 2H O/U 12.50%
Air Force 2H O/U 14.50%
Air Force 2H O/U 16.50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H0%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H0%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q10%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q40%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q30%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q20%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q30%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q40%
Navy vs. Air Force: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.50%
Game Goes to Overtime0%
Navy vs. Air Force: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown0%
Navy vs. Air Force: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.50%
Pick-Six Scored0%
Navy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.50%
Air Force Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.50%
Navy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
Air Force Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.50%
Air Force Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
Navy Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.50%
Navy Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.50%
Navy Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.50%
Air Force Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.50%
Air Force Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.50%
Navy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.50%
Navy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.50%
Air Force Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.50%
Navy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.50%
Navy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.50%
Navy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.50%
Navy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.50%
Air Force Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.50%
Air Force Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.50%
Air Force Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.50%
Navy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.50%
Navy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Air Force 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Air Force 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.50%
Navy Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
Navy Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Air Force Field Goals Made: O/U 0.50%
Air Force Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Air Force Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
Navy Total Receptions: O/U 14.50%
Navy Total Receptions: O/U 19.50%
Navy Total Receptions: O/U 24.50%
Air Force Total Receptions: O/U 14.50%
Air Force Total Receptions: O/U 19.50%
Air Force Total Receptions: O/U 24.50%
Navy Total First Downs: O/U 21.50%
Navy Total First Downs: O/U 19.50%
Navy Total First Downs: O/U 23.50%
Air Force Total First Downs: O/U 19.50%
Air Force Total First Downs: O/U 21.50%
Air Force Total First Downs: O/U 23.50%
Navy vs. Air Force: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.50%
Navy vs. Air Force: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
2H Spread -0.50%
2H Spread -1.50%
2H Spread -2.50%
2H Spread -3.50%
2H Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
3Q Spread -0.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%
4Q Spread -1.50%
4Q Spread -0.50%
4Q Spread -1.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -5.50%
Air Force O/U 3.50%
Navy O/U 2.50%
1H Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%
Air Force O/U 2.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Navy vs. Air Force. In the upcoming college football game between Navy and Air Force, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Navy" if Navy win the game. This market will resolve to "Air Force…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -0.5 at 100% for "Navy vs. Air Force".

Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $830K.

Methodology

This overview of Navy vs. Air Force reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket Tax UK has a different geo footprint.
Is Polymarket regulated by the UKGC?
No. Polymarket is not licensed by the UK Gambling Commission (UKGC). It is a decentralised prediction market operated under US regulation. UK traders can use it but do not benefit from UKGC dispute resolution or player protection requirements.
What are the HMRC tax rules on Polymarket profits for UK traders?
Polymarket profits are treated as cryptocurrency disposal events by HMRC. Each USDC settlement is a taxable event subject to Capital Gains Tax (CGT). For 2026/27, the CGT rate is 18% (basic rate) or 24% (higher rate). The annual CGT exemption is £3,000. Report via HMRC Self Assessment if your total crypto gains exceed £3,000 or proceeds exceed £50,000.
Does Polymarket KYC apply to UK users?
Yes. Polymarket requires KYC (Know Your Customer) verification for all users, including UK residents. You must provide a government-issued photo ID and a selfie. The process typically takes 5–10 minutes via their ID verification provider.
What is the legal difference between Polymarket and Betfair Exchange for UK traders?
Betfair Exchange is UKGC-licensed, meaning UK consumer protections apply and winnings are typically tax-free. Polymarket is not UKGC-licensed — it operates under decentralised blockchain rules. Profits from Polymarket are subject to HMRC CGT as crypto disposals. Choose based on your regulatory preference and tax situation.
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