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Hawai'i vs. Arizona State

Regulatory snapshot for "Hawai'i vs. Arizona State": platform geo-block status, KYC thresholds, tax implications.

Spread -0.5 100% Spread -1.5 100% Spread -2.5 100% Spread -3.5 100% Volume: $296K Closes: 11 Oct 2026
Open live market →
Hawai'i vs. Arizona State

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Tax UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -0.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -10.5100%
Spread -13.5100%
Spread -14.5100%
Spread -16.5100%
Spread -17.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
1H O/U 21.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
4Q O/U 7.5100%
4Q O/U 10.5100%
Arizona State O/U 23.5100%
Arizona State O/U 26.5100%
Arizona State O/U 29.5100%
Arizona State 1H O/U 12.5100%
Arizona State 1H O/U 14.5100%
Arizona State 1H O/U 16.5100%
Arizona State 2H O/U 12.5100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q4100%
Hawai'i Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5100%
Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5100%
Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5100%
Hawai'i Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5100%
Hawai'i Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5100%
Hawai'i Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5100%
Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5100%
Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5100%
Arizona State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5100%
Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5100%
Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5100%
Arizona State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5100%
Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Hawai'i Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Hawai'i Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5100%
Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 14.5100%
Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 19.5100%
Hawai'i Total Receptions: O/U 24.5100%
Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5100%
Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5100%
Hawai'i Total First Downs: O/U 19.5100%
Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5100%
Hawai'i vs. Arizona State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5100%
Spread -9.5100%
Spread -11.5100%
Spread -12.5100%
Spread -15.5100%
1H Spread -8.5100%
1H Spread -10.5100%
2H Spread -6.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -4.5100%
2Q Spread -5.5100%
2Q Spread -6.5100%
3Q Spread -0.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q Spread -4.5100%
3Q Spread -5.5100%
4Q Moneyline50%
Hawai'i vs. Arizona State0%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -0.50%
Spread -20.50%
O/U 43.50%
O/U 45.50%
O/U 47.50%
O/U 49.50%
O/U 51.50%
O/U 53.50%
O/U 55.50%
O/U 57.50%
O/U 59.50%
O/U 61.50%
O/U 63.50%
O/U 65.50%
O/U 67.50%
O/U 69.50%
O/U 71.50%
O/U 73.50%
O/U 75.50%
1H O/U 24.50%
1H O/U 27.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
2H O/U 21.50%
2H O/U 24.50%
2H O/U 27.50%
2H O/U 30.50%
2H O/U 33.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
3Q O/U 7.50%
3Q O/U 10.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
4Q O/U 13.50%
4Q O/U 16.50%
4Q O/U 19.50%
Hawai'i O/U 20.50%
Hawai'i O/U 23.50%
Hawai'i O/U 26.50%
Hawai'i O/U 29.50%
Hawai'i O/U 32.50%
Arizona State O/U 32.50%
Arizona State O/U 35.50%
Hawai'i 1H O/U 11.50%
Hawai'i 1H O/U 13.50%
Hawai'i 1H O/U 15.50%
Hawai'i 2H O/U 11.50%
Hawai'i 2H O/U 13.50%
Hawai'i 2H O/U 15.50%
Arizona State 2H O/U 14.50%
Arizona State 2H O/U 16.50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q10%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H0%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q20%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q30%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q30%
Game Goes to Overtime0%
Hawai'i vs. Arizona State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.50%
Hawai'i vs. Arizona State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.50%
Pick-Six Scored0%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown0%
Hawai'i vs. Arizona State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.50%
Hawai'i Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
Hawai'i Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.50%
Arizona State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.50%
Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.50%
Hawai'i Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.50%
Arizona State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.50%
Hawai'i Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.50%
Hawai'i Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.50%
Hawai'i Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.50%
Hawai'i Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.50%
Hawai'i Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.50%
Hawai'i 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Arizona State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Hawai'i Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Arizona State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
Arizona State Total Receptions: O/U 24.50%
Hawai'i Total First Downs: O/U 21.50%
Hawai'i Total First Downs: O/U 23.50%
Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 21.50%
Arizona State Total First Downs: O/U 23.50%
Hawai'i vs. Arizona State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.50%
Hawai'i vs. Arizona State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.50%
Spread -18.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -21.50%
Spread -22.50%
Spread -23.50%
Spread -24.50%
Spread -25.50%
Spread -26.50%
Spread -27.50%
Spread -28.50%
Spread -30.50%
Spread -33.50%
Spread -34.50%
Spread -36.50%
Spread -37.50%
Spread -40.50%
1H Spread -11.50%
1H Spread -12.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -15.50%
2H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -9.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -11.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -5.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
2H Moneyline0%
Hawai'i O/U 1.50%
Arizona State O/U 4.50%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%
3Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to hawai'i vs. arizona state. In the upcoming college football game between Hawai'i and Arizona State, scheduled for October 10 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Hawai'i" if Hawai'i win the game. This market will resolve…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -0.5 at 100% for "Hawai'i vs. Arizona State".

Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $296K.

Methodology

This overview of Hawai'i vs. Arizona State reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket Tax UK has a different geo footprint.
Is Polymarket regulated by the UKGC?
No. Polymarket is not licensed by the UK Gambling Commission (UKGC). It is a decentralised prediction market operated under US regulation. UK traders can use it but do not benefit from UKGC dispute resolution or player protection requirements.
What are the HMRC tax rules on Polymarket profits for UK traders?
Polymarket profits are treated as cryptocurrency disposal events by HMRC. Each USDC settlement is a taxable event subject to Capital Gains Tax (CGT). For 2026/27, the CGT rate is 18% (basic rate) or 24% (higher rate). The annual CGT exemption is £3,000. Report via HMRC Self Assessment if your total crypto gains exceed £3,000 or proceeds exceed £50,000.
Does Polymarket KYC apply to UK users?
Yes. Polymarket requires KYC (Know Your Customer) verification for all users, including UK residents. You must provide a government-issued photo ID and a selfie. The process typically takes 5–10 minutes via their ID verification provider.
What is the legal difference between Polymarket and Betfair Exchange for UK traders?
Betfair Exchange is UKGC-licensed, meaning UK consumer protections apply and winnings are typically tax-free. Polymarket is not UKGC-licensed — it operates under decentralised blockchain rules. Profits from Polymarket are subject to HMRC CGT as crypto disposals. Choose based on your regulatory preference and tax situation.
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Related Topics

Sports