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Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend

Regulatory snapshot for "Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend": platform geo-block status, KYC thresholds, tax implications.

Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend 100% Completed Match 100% Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 Winner 100% Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $143K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Tax UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend100%
Completed Match100%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 Winner100%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Match O/U 21.5100%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Match O/U 22.5100%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Match O/U 23.5100%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 2 Winner0%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to granby: yuta shimizu vs jay dylan friend. This market refers to the tennis match between Yuta Shimizu and Jay Dylan Friend in the Granby, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Shimizu' if Yut…

Methodology

This overview of Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket Tax UK has a different geo footprint.
Can I trade anonymously?
Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Polymarket Tax UK stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Polymarket Tax UK exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
and

Trade Granby: Yuta Shimizu vs Jay Dylan Friend on Polymarket Tax UK

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Related Topics

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