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Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

"Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Polymarket Tax UK as a Polymarket alternative.

Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 Winner 100% Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 Winner 100% Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $838K Liquidity: $16K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Tax UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Total Sets: O/U 4.551%
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 40.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Total Sets: O/U 3.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 36.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 38.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set Handicap +/-2.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 3 O/U 8.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 3 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 3 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar0%
Completed Match0%
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 3 Winner0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to wimbledon atp: camilo ugo carabelli vs daniel merida aguilar. This market refers to the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'C…

Methodology

This overview of Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Polymarket Tax UK has a different geo footprint.
Do I need to KYC for Polymarket Tax UK?
Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Polymarket Tax UK exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Polymarket Tax UK would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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Related Topics

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