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PGA Tour: 3M Open Winner

"PGA Tour: 3M Open Winner" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Polymarket Tax UK as a Polymarket alternative.

Jackson Koivun 55% Ben Kohles 11% Emiliano Grillo 10% Scottie Scheffler 6% Volume: $176K Liquidity: $911K Closes: 26 Jul 2026
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PGA Tour: 3M Open Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Tax UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 55% 45% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 55% 45% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Jackson Koivun55%
Ben Kohles11%
Emiliano Grillo10%
Scottie Scheffler6%
Michael Brennan6%
Chandler Phillips3%
Michael Kim2%
Billy Horschel2%
Denny McCarthy2%
Kurt Kitayama1%
Hideki Matsuyama1%
Gary Woodland1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout1%
Davis Thompson1%
Kevin Yu1%
Brian Harman1%
Lee Hodges1%
Ze-Cheng Dou1%
Seamus Power1%
Austin Smotherman1%
Kevin Roy1%
Maverick McNealy0%
Keith Mitchell0%
Jake Knapp0%
Tom Kim0%
Pierceson Coody0%
Jackson Suber0%
Max Homa0%
Corey Conners0%
Jordan L. Smith0%
Doug Ghim0%
Sung-Jae Im0%
Benjamin James0%
Sam Stevens0%
Tony Finau0%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju0%
Johnny Keefer0%
Mac Meissner0%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen0%
Jason Day0%
Max Greyserman0%
William Mouw0%
Aldrich Potgieter0%
Stephan Jaeger0%
Taylor Pendrith0%
Casey Jarvis0%
Ricky Castillo0%
Steven Fisk0%
Beau Hossler0%
Mackenzie Hughes0%
John Parry0%
Taylor Moore0%
Preston Stout0%
Max McGreevy0%
Lucas Glover0%
Hao-Tong Li0%
Thorbjorn Olesen0%
Andrew Putnam0%
Rico Hoey0%
Zach Bauchou0%
Keita Nakajima0%
Jesper Svensson0%
Patrick Rodgers0%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart0%
Matt Kuchar0%
Zac Blair0%
Ryder Cowan0%
Patrick Fishburn0%
Takumi Kanaya0%
Chris Kirk0%
A.J. Ewart0%
Kristoffer Ventura0%
Garrick Higgo0%
Austin Eckroat0%
Gordon Sargent0%
Tom Hoge0%
Chad Ramey0%
Erik Van Rooyen0%
Matthieu Pavon0%
Pontus Nyholm0%
Nick Dunlap0%
Karl Vilips0%
Neal Shipley0%
Luke Clanton0%
Joel Dahmen0%
David Skinns0%
Brandt Snedeker0%
Hayden Springer0%
Trace Crowe0%
David Lipsky0%
Aaron Wise0%
S.Y. Noh0%
Harry Higgs0%
Mark Hubbard0%
Luke List0%
Cameron Champ0%
Vince Whaley0%
Lanto Griffin0%
Adam Hadwin0%
Jimmy Stanger0%
Player 00%
Player 10%
Player 20%
Player 30%
Player 40%
Player 50%
Player 60%
Player 70%
Player 80%
Player 90%
Player 100%
Player 110%
Player 120%
Player 130%
Player 140%
Player 150%
Player 160%
Player 170%
Player 180%
Player 190%
Other0%

Market context

PGA Tour: 3M Open Winner — current market-implied probability: 55%. This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 3M Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the 3M Open tournament based on the official rules o…

Methodology

This overview of PGA Tour: 3M Open Winner reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Do I need to KYC for Polymarket Tax UK?
Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
How are winnings taxed?
Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Polymarket Tax UK would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
Sarah MitchellSarah MitchellPolitical Markets WriterandJames WilliamsJames WilliamsPrediction Market Analyst

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