Solana price on May 22?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Solana’s Binance 1-minute close at 12:00 ET on 22 May 2026 is the fixing that will decide this market. With the crowd pricing in 0% YES, the market is effectively saying a qualifying close is not expected, or that participants have not found a dependable way to price it yet. The reference level is Binance’s SOL/USDT “Close” on the 1m candle, so only that timestamp matters; broader spot moves elsewhere, even on the same day, do not. For context, SOL was trading around $86-87 in recent daily data, and comparable forecast pages have clustered near the mid-$80s to low-$90s for late May, which helps explain why the market remains sensitive to even modest intraday swings.

For traders, the main watchpoints are Binance’s own liquidity and any sudden moves in BTC or the wider crypto tape that can spill into SOL before the noon ET candle prints. There is also a regulatory angle to accessibility: under German GlüStV rules, prediction-market participation can be restricted for some users and operators, while US CFTC reach remains a live consideration for contracts with a derivatives-like structure. “No-KYC up to $1,500” means some users may be able to access the market with limited identity checks below that threshold, but higher activity, withdrawals, or jurisdictional screening can still trigger verification. The practical catalysts are exchange downtime, large SOL-related flows, and any Binance-specific announcements or outages before settlement.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Solana price on May 22? on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.